Wednesday, November 9, 2011

Why Durban Won't Result In A Greenhouse Gas Reduction Agreement

The nations are gathering in Durban, South Africa at one of their annual meetings to decry the continued havoc that they maintain greenhouse gases are wreaking on the world.  Leaving aside the question of whether the science supports their fears, nothing is going to be done to restrict GHG emissions.  National self-interest in developing countries will trump the science every day. 

The Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center has published the preliminary 2009 and 2010 global and national estimates of carbon emissions from fossil-fuel combustion and cement manufacture.  The data show huge increases in carbon emissions for the developing world, small reductions for much of the developed world. A chart based on the CDIAC data is in this article and easier to read.

Development isn't going to happen in the near term without fossil fuels.  Less developed nations aren't going to give up higher standards of living for the unproven benefits of reducing GHGs. 

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