The End Of Global Warming?

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the international body that was created to report on the extent of global warming, is in the midst of one of its interminable report writing processes.  If it goes like before, the result will be questionable conclusions drawn from spotty data, with an executive summary  that warns of imminent disaster from predicted global temperature increases.  These increases are estimated  from computer models that the IPCC runs, carefully controlling the computer inputs in a way that has resulted in predictions of large increases in the future.

These predictions of large temperature increases  have been made for over 20 years now, and  it would be fair to see how they stack up against the actual temperature data over the past 20 or so years.  It appears they didn't do so well.  Someone has leaked the draft of the most recent IPCC report, and it contains a surprise, seen in the graph below:


Ignore the gray bands, which aren't relevant for our purposes.  Look at the colored bands, which show the range of IPCC model estimates.  The actual measurements are at the low end of the models, at best, and the apparent trend is down, not up.  Read more about it  here.  And remember, this is the IPCC's own  graph, relying on  adjusted temperature data, data  which have been disproportionately adjusted to reduce temperatures in the past and increase them after the model periods began, to exaggerate temperature increases.

The  IPCC computer modeling was a big part of the justification used by EPA to justify limits on greenhouse gas emissions.  Wonder if they'll reconsider now.